{"id":694,"date":"2013-02-26T12:56:59","date_gmt":"2013-02-26T12:56:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rulesofreason.wordpress.com\/?p=694"},"modified":"2013-02-26T12:56:59","modified_gmt":"2013-02-26T12:56:59","slug":"to-predict-or-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=694","title":{"rendered":"Don&#8217;t predict anything, especially if it hasn&#8217;t happened yet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-style:inherit;line-height:1.625;\">My version of the famous <\/span><a style=\"font-style:inherit;line-height:1.625;\" href=\"http:\/\/larry.denenberg.com\/predictions.html\" target=\"_blank\">saying<\/a><span style=\"font-style:inherit;line-height:1.625;\"> with a hundred fathers.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My version of the famous saying with a hundred fathers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[20],"tags":[515],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7g3hj-bc","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":604,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=604","url_meta":{"origin":694,"position":0},"title":"Intelligence and Politics","date":"November 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"\"Intelligence can let you solve harder problems, but some problems are just resistant, and you get to a point that being smarter isn't going to help you at all, and I think a lot of our problems are like that. Like in politics - it's not like we're saying that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"intelligence and politics\"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":593,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=593","url_meta":{"origin":694,"position":1},"title":"The education revolution at our doorstep","date":"November 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"University education is at the brink of radical transformation. The\u00a0revolution\u00a0is already happening and the Khan Academy, Udacity, Coursera and the Marginal Revolution\u00a0University\u00a0are just the harbingers of a change that will soon sweep over universities throughout the world. Alex Tabarrok has a must-read piece on the coming revolution in education here.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Teaching&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":647,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=647","url_meta":{"origin":694,"position":2},"title":"New data source for political science researchers","date":"December 19, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Political Data Yearbook Interactive\u00a0is a new source for data on election results, turnout and government composition for all EU and some non-European countries. It is basically an online version of the yearbooks that ECPR printed as part of the European Journal for Political Research for many years now. The interactive\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Data visualization&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":483,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=483","url_meta":{"origin":694,"position":3},"title":"Diesel, cancer and how (not) to report about risk","date":"June 13, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The BBC reports that diesel exhausts have been declared as causing cancer. That could very well be, but the way the results\u00a0are reported leaves a lot to be desired. First, look at this bit: Dr Kurt Straif, also from IARC, said: \"For most of the carcinogens when there is high\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Environmental policy&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":582,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=582","url_meta":{"origin":694,"position":4},"title":"Science is like sex...","date":"November 12, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"'Science is like sex - it might have practical consequences but that's not why you do it!' This seems to be a modified version of a quote by the\u00a0physicist Richard Feynman that I heard last week at a meeting organized by the Dutch Organization for Scientific Research\u00a0(the major research funding\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Humour&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":123,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=123","url_meta":{"origin":694,"position":5},"title":"Academic fraud reaching new heights","date":"November 1, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Academic \u00a0fraud is reaching new heights lows. Dutch social psychologist Diederik Stapel (Tilburg University)\u00a0 is the culprit this time. A commission looking into the issue came up with a report [in Dutch] on Monday saying that \"the extent of fraud is very significant\" (p.5). Stapel fabricated data for at least\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Academic publishing&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/694"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/694\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}