{"id":650,"date":"2012-12-21T09:32:34","date_gmt":"2012-12-21T09:32:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rulesofreason.wordpress.com\/?p=650"},"modified":"2012-12-21T09:32:34","modified_gmt":"2012-12-21T09:32:34","slug":"hyperlinks-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=650","title":{"rendered":"Hyperlinks"},"content":{"rendered":"

Philip Tetlock on political forecasting<\/a>
Interview with Pearl on causal inference
<\/a>Brian Jones on the possibility for change in American gun (safety) policy<\/a>
Fights over evidence in medicine<\/a>
The Mayan Doomsday’s Effects on Survival Rates<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Philip Tetlock on political forecastingInterview with Pearl on causal inferenceBrian Jones on the possibility for change in American gun (safety) policyFights over evidence in medicineThe Mayan Doomsday’s Effects on Survival Rates<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7g3hj-au","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":336,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=336","url_meta":{"origin":650,"position":0},"title":"Explanation and the quest for 'significant' relationships. Part II","date":"February 22, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"In Part I I argue that the search and discovery of statistically significant relationships does not amount to explanation and is often misplaced in the social sciences because the variables which are purported to have\u00a0effects\u00a0on the outcome cannot be manipulated. Just to make sure that my message is not misinterpreted\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Causality"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":577,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=577","url_meta":{"origin":650,"position":1},"title":"Hedging the bets: The US election outcome in the Dutch press","date":"November 7, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"This is a guest post by Markus Haverland,\u00a0Professor\u00a0at\u00a0Erasmus University Rotterdam and author of a recent book on research methods. *** Causal knowledge about the world proceeds by testing hypotheses. The context of discovery precedes the context of justification. We all know that journalists and pundits often do it the other\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Humour"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":331,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=331","url_meta":{"origin":650,"position":2},"title":"Explanation and the quest for 'significant' relationships. Part I","date":"February 17, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The ultimate goal of social science is causal explanation*. The\u00a0actual goal of most\u00a0academic research is to discover significant relationships between variables. The two goals are supposed to be strongly related - by discovering (the) significant effects of exogenous (independent) variables, one\u00a0accounts for\u00a0the outcome of interest.\u00a0In fact, the working assumption of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Causality"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":57,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=57","url_meta":{"origin":650,"position":3},"title":"Inspiring scientific concepts","date":"October 16, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"EDGE asks 159 selected intellectuals What scientific concept would improve everybody's cognitive toolkit? You are welcome to read the individual contributions which range from a paragraph to a short essay here. Many of the entries are truly inspiring but I see little synergy of bringing 159 of them together. Like\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Causality"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/2kotK9FNEYU\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":517,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=517","url_meta":{"origin":650,"position":4},"title":"In defense of description","date":"September 28, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"John Gerring has a new article in the British Journal of Political Science [ungated here]which\u00a0attempts to restore\u00a0description\u00a0to its rightful place as a respectful occupation for political scientists. Description has indeed been relegated to the sidelines at the expense of causal\u00a0inference\u00a0during the last 50 years,\u00a0and Gerring does a great job in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Classification"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1046,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=1046","url_meta":{"origin":650,"position":5},"title":"What are the effects of COVID-19 on mortality? Individual-level causes of death and population-level estimates of casual impact","date":"April 27, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Introduction How many people have died from COVID-19? What is the impact of COVID-19 on mortality in a population? Can we use excess mortality to estimate the effects of COVID-19? In this text I will explain why the answer to the first two questions need not be the same. That\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Causality"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=650"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=650"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=650"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=650"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}