{"id":479,"date":"2012-06-04T14:13:17","date_gmt":"2012-06-04T14:13:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rulesofreason.wordpress.com\/?p=479"},"modified":"2012-06-04T14:13:17","modified_gmt":"2012-06-04T14:13:17","slug":"protestants-missionaries-and-the-diffusion-of-liberal-democracy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=479","title":{"rendered":"Protestants, Missionaries and the Diffusion of Liberal Democracy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A new APSR <a href=\"http:\/\/journals.cambridge.org\/abstract_S0003055412000093\" target=\"_blank\">article<\/a> [<a href=\"http:\/\/isites.harvard.edu\/fs\/docs\/icb.topic965299.files\/Woodberry%20APSR%202011.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">ungated<\/a>] argues for the crucial role of Protestant missionaries in the global spread of liberal democracy.\u00a0The\u00a0statistical analyses\u00a0tease out the effect of missionaries from the\u00a0influence of\u00a0the characteristics of\u00a0colonizers\u00a0(Britain, the Netherlands, France, etc.)\u00a0and pre-existing geographic, economic and cultural characteristics of the\u00a0states. Interestingly, Protestant missionary influence not only remains a significant predictor of democracy outside the Western world once these factors are controlled for, but it renders them obsolete (which is a big deal because the same institutional, geographic, economic and cultural characteristics have been the usual explanations of democracy diffusion). On the other hand, the patterns in the data are consistent with the plausible mechanisms through which the effect of Protestant missionaries is exercised &#8211; the spread of newspapers, education, and civil society.<\/p>\n<p>I am sure this article is not going to be the last word on democracy diffusion, but it certainly\u00a0puts the influence of Protestantism center stage. The major issue, I suspect, is not going to be methodological (since the article already considers a plethora of potential methodological complications in the <a href=\"http:\/\/journals.cambridge.org\/action\/displaySuppMaterial?cupCode=1&amp;type=4&amp;jid=PSR&amp;volumeId=106&amp;issueId=02&amp;aid=8600535&amp;sessionId=41431E0BBFE0C0666D7F2FE5C1849A4E.journals\" target=\"_blank\">appendix<\/a>), but conceptual &#8211; to what extent the effect of Protestant missionaries can be conceptually separated from the improvements in education and the growth of the public sphere. In other words, do (did) you need the religious component at all, or education, newspapers and civil society would have worked on their own to make liberal democracy more likely (even if fostered by other channels than Protestant missionaries) .<\/p>\n<p>In terms of methodology, it might be interesting to\u00a0analyze the same data\u00a0using necessary and sufficient conditions: I would find it even more\u00a0informative to see whether the presence of Protestant missionaries is necessary and\/or sufficient for the emergence of stable liberal democracy, in addition to the evidence for a robust (linear?) association between the two, as\u00a0reported in the current article.<\/p>\n<p>Here is the <a href=\"http:\/\/journals.cambridge.org\/abstract_S0003055412000093\" target=\"_blank\">abstract<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>This article demonstrates historically and statistically that conversionary Protestants (CPs) heavily influenced the rise and spread of stable democracy around the world. It argues that CPs were a crucial catalyst initiating the development and spread of religious liberty, mass education, mass printing, newspapers, voluntary organizations, and colonial reforms, thereby creating the conditions that made stable democracy more likely. Statistically, the historic prevalence of Protestant missionaries explains about half the variation in democracy in Africa, Asia, Latin America andOceaniaand removes the impact of most variables that dominate current statistical research about democracy. The association between Protestant missions and democracy is consistent in different continents and subsamples, and it is robust to more than 50 controls and to instrumental variable analyses.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new APSR article [ungated] argues for the crucial role of Protestant missionaries in the global spread of liberal democracy.\u00a0The\u00a0statistical analyses\u00a0tease out the effect of missionaries from the\u00a0influence of\u00a0the characteristics of\u00a0colonizers\u00a0(Britain, the Netherlands, France, etc.)\u00a0and pre-existing geographic, economic and cultural characteristics of the\u00a0states. Interestingly, Protestant missionary influence not only remains a significant predictor of democracy outside the Western world once these factors are controlled for, but it renders them obsolete (which is a big deal because the same institutional, geographic, economic and cultural characteristics have been the usual explanations of democracy diffusion). On the other hand, the patterns in the data are consistent with the plausible mechanisms through which the effect of Protestant missionaries is exercised &#8211; the spread of newspapers, education, and civil society. I am sure this article is not going to be the last word on democracy diffusion, but it certainly\u00a0puts the influence of Protestantism center stage. The major issue, I suspect, is not going to be methodological (since the article already considers a plethora of potential methodological complications in the appendix), but conceptual &#8211; to what extent the effect of Protestant missionaries can be conceptually separated from the improvements in education and the growth of the public sphere. In other words, do (did) you need the religious component at all, or education, newspapers and civil society would have worked on their own to make liberal democracy more likely (even if fostered by other channels than Protestant missionaries) . In terms of methodology, it might be interesting&#8230;<\/p>\n<div class=\"more-link-wrapper\"><a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=479\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Protestants, Missionaries and the Diffusion of Liberal Democracy<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[13,19,33],"tags":[174,383,413,414,526,573],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7g3hj-7J","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":619,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=619","url_meta":{"origin":479,"position":0},"title":"The European Commission vs. the People","date":"December 6, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Note: re-post from the sister-blog The Commission has recently published its vision about the future of European integration. The report is more than ambitious calling for full banking, economic, budgetary and political integration, including \u2018dedicated fiscal capacity for the euro area\u2019 which I believe means taxation powers for the EU.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;EU governance&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"New Picture","src":"http:\/\/eurosearch.files.wordpress.com\/2012\/12\/new-picture.png?w=350&h=200&crop=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":457,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=457","url_meta":{"origin":479,"position":1},"title":"Inclusive institutions and economic development","date":"May 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Francis Fukuyama reviews Why Nations Fail, the new book by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson, at his blog. The review is fairly critical. Fukuyama agrees that institutions are of paramount importance for development (as you would expect given his own recent book) but is unsatisfied\u00a0with the vague (or even missing)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Development&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":474,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=474","url_meta":{"origin":479,"position":2},"title":"Hyperlinks","date":"May 25, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Cognitive Democracy\u00a0 Middle East Studies Wars\u00a0Disturbing Democratization and the Age Structure of Society\u00a0Strong and interesting results but all the dislaimers for an observational study apply Writing Research Articles\u00a0 Advice by Andrew Gelman Photo by CMGW Photography","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Hyperlinks&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/7264003050_4025904f4f_c.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":963,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=963","url_meta":{"origin":479,"position":3},"title":"What's a demockracy?","date":"December 5, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"- What\u2019s a democracy? - Democracy means that people rule and the government respects the opinions of the citizens. - So the government should do what the people want? - In principle, yes, but\u2026 - Can a majority of the people decide to abolish the parliament? - No, the basic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Humour&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":102,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=102","url_meta":{"origin":479,"position":4},"title":"Veto players and policy making (UK style)","date":"October 31, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0The concept of 'veto players' (developed initially by George Tsebelis) plays a prominent role in research on policy making, legislative production,\u00a0policy implementation, etc. All these analyses need to be revised, however,\u00a0because the measure of the number of British veto players\u00a0has been revealed to be\u00a0wrong. Everyone forgot to include\u00a0..... Prince Charles.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Policy making&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":616,"url":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/?p=616","url_meta":{"origin":479,"position":5},"title":"The most successful party family in Europe?!","date":"December 5, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"\"The populist radical right constitutes the most successful party family in postwar Western Europe.\" (Cas Mudde, Stein Rokkan Lecture published in the latest issue of the European Journal of Political Research) I hope this is a typo or some other type of unintentional misunderstanding. How can the populist radical right\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Voting and elections&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=479"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=479"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=479"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/re-design.dimiter.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=479"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}